Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1876.837341 2050.292983 2227.772392 2422.671797 2630.406620 2844.921899 3082.901879
2024-10-20 1592.340670 1846.076020 2117.237928 2427.489645 2771.521054 3140.209905 3564.061739
2024-10-27 1355.271992 1646.151149 1967.645036 2347.085653 2780.352269 3257.345666 3819.802480
2024-11-03 1267.384326 1597.197125 1971.459383 2423.870910 2952.061389 3545.368356 4258.180524
2024-11-10 1181.177694 1539.074546 1954.933948 2468.386041 3079.588293 3778.162654 4630.954739
2024-11-17 1084.722059 1459.393970 1904.669050 2465.491316 3145.224435 3934.618240 4912.388150
2024-11-24 988.997593 1372.707760 1838.754173 2436.982582 3174.480502 4043.806814 5135.164264
2024-12-01 930.397960 1327.769546 1819.801763 2461.971809 3265.392846 4224.621461 5442.731906
2024-12-08 866.985577 1271.966054 1783.063189 2461.046710 3321.469698 4361.463193 5696.665948
2024-12-15 830.962216 1249.333947 1786.254783 2508.652571 3436.816145 4570.576348 6039.793847
2024-12-22 771.829261 1191.866379 1740.816007 2490.724966 3466.982576 4672.867763 6250.948344
2024-12-29 747.116131 1179.656251 1753.513479 2547.291328 3591.766377 4893.597803 6610.714880
2025-01-05 704.186755 1140.437699 1729.172459 2555.030556 3654.756834 5039.221322 6881.268590
2025-01-12 663.410960 1101.975293 1703.937598 2560.082427 3713.491638 5179.682581 7146.888535
2025-01-19 596.068400 1020.897509 1615.974085 2476.313904 3651.385345 5162.150321 7209.022596
2025-01-26 587.003759 1025.391425 1647.495799 2556.313150 3808.365774 5429.570245 7639.448578
2025-02-02 568.107535 1013.801776 1655.197615 2602.680546 3920.050253 5638.692732 7996.431785
2025-02-09 535.762488 979.675648 1628.749410 2599.665613 3963.568605 5757.860883 8236.904277
2025-02-16 498.125723 935.067577 1584.907201 2569.971222 3968.809853 5825.242551 8409.168859
2025-02-23 478.361461 917.742097 1580.446616 2595.999907 4050.888829 5995.430843 8718.157851
2025-03-02 452.749641 889.446843 1558.187508 2595.036372 4094.462658 6113.667638 8958.806600
2025-03-09 441.531081 884.239214 1570.539992 2644.615794 4209.543695 6329.559059 9331.640115
2025-03-16 414.293360 850.585427 1537.686589 2625.946022 4226.685260 6411.628028 9525.105282